Trump’s “malnuclearization” suggestion with Russia and China: How would it work?

In the middle of a wave of early shakes in the new administration, President Donald Trump He has twice proposed this month with the conversations of “malnachite” with the opponents of the United States.

“A large amount of money is spent on nuclear and destructive capacity is something we do not even want to talk today, because you do not want to listen to it,” he commented on the World Economic Forum of Davos, Switzerland, last week.

“I want to see if we can malnachite and I think it is very possible,” suggesting conversations on the subject between the United States, Russia and China.

This idea could be a significant thaw in United States relationships with two world opponents, but we raise the question of whether the United States could rely on nations to maintain their end of agreement.

President Vladimir Putin He announced that Russia would suspend its participation in the new beginning treaty by 2023 on North -American support in Ukraine. Russia had often been trapped by violating the terms of the agreement. But China has never been negotiating with the United States on reducing weapons.

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Trump reiterated on Wednesday in Sean Hanity of Fox News, which had been near a “malnachite” agreement with Russia during the first term.

“I treated Putin on Russia and the United States’s malnachity. And then we went to Carries China Throughout that. Was very close to having an agreement. Would have made an agreement with Putin on this malnachity. It is very dangerous and very expensive, and this would have been great, but we had a bad election that interrupted us. “

The Department of Defense is now waiting for China to have more than 1,000 nuclear heads, a good look at the 600 dear who have right now.

In a speech on January 17, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that “In the midst of a” hybrid war “that Washington did against Russia, we do not see any basis, not only for additional joint measures in the sphere of weapons control and the reduction of strategic risks, but for anyone Discussion on strategic stability problems with the United States. “

But Putin, at a Monday address, achieved a more diplomatic tone: “We see the statements of the newly elected President … on the desire to restore direct contacts with Russia. We also listen to his statement on the need to make the whole Possible to avoid World War II.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun said Trump’s comments at a press conference Wednesday: “The development of nuclear weapons in China is a must -make historical choice. As an important country responsible, China is committed to the path of peaceful development and friendly cooperation with all countries around the world.”

Experts argue that Russia is using her leverage on nuclear weapons control as a means of the United States that accept favorable terms to end the war with Ukraine.

“The Russians are the first negotiators and what they do in this case is that they are clearly a little trap,” said John Erath, the weapons control center and the non -proliferation.

“It makes sense to control the weapons they perceive, which they perceive as something we want, in front of us and saying:” Oh, by the way, we will talk about reducing nuclear weapons, “as an incentive to get the Ukrainians throwing under the ‘bus’.

But if Trump revealed a political priority or spoke for a whim with Davos’s comments it is an assumption.

The President took hot during the first term to meet with North Korea Dictor Kim Jong one to discuss nuclear reduction. This effort was undone and Trump resorted to threaten the rain of “fire and fury” in North Korea.

“I think he is very sensitive to the dangers of nuclear war and realizes that in many ways Statecraft.

One thing that most experts agree is that the US nuclear program is expensive and out of date. With about 3,700 heads of war in their arsenal, the United States is expected to spend $ 756 million to store and maintain their nuclear weapons between 2023 and 2032.

“Regardless of the reductions, however, the administration and the congress must continue to modernize and ensure the reliability of the Nuclear Arsenal of the United States while eliminating excessive expenditure when possible,” said Andrea Stricker, Deputy Director of the Foundation for the defense of non -proliferation democracy.

Arms experts admit that Russia has cheated on weapons treaties, but U.S. intelligence abilities have grown to ensure compliance.

“We have done this throughout the Cold War at different degrees and I think we have improved and more capable in our intelligence community to follow the fulfillment of such things. So it is definitely a feasible approach” , he said, “he said,” he said, “he said,” said Beebe.

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But China and Russia are not the only north -American with nuclear weapons. It is estimated that North Korea has an arsenal of 50 nuclear head, Iran is in the precipice of the enrichment of uranium to powerful levels for a pump.

“Before participating in the weapons control talks, Washington needs a strategy to deter two of peer nuclear competitors, Russia and China, which could combine forces with states such as North Korea and Iran to attack or coerce the United States, “said Stricker.

In the four decades between the North -American atomic bombings of Japan in 1945 And the first weapons control treaty between the United States and Russia, the world was on the shore, as the two superpowers ran to claim the largest arsenal in the world. In 1987, Washington and Moscow signed the Treaty of Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces (INF), which resulted in the dismantling of thousands of bombs.

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But over the years, the United States and Russia lost their monopoly on civilization weapons: new countries are now nuclear armed, making bilateral treaties less and less effective.