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The supercomputer predicts the Champions League winner after the chaotic quarterfinals of the first legs


The first legs of the Champions League were just supposed to serve as teasers for melodrama next week.

They said the sport was on their knees after Sunday drawing bore In the Manchester derby in the midst of the rather non -inspirational season of the Premier League, but the European premiere club competition has delivered a timely reminder that it is not so bad after all.

With danger, the continent elite was delivered (well, some of them) under the brightest lights. There were special collective performances valuable widespread recognition and a series of extraordinary strikes that forced you to enroll in the capital cities when posting a reaction to X.

There is a scope for reverses in return legs, but the action on Tuesday and Wednesday has passed a long way to determine the Final Four. From the back of the first leg results, here select evaluates the chances of the remaining team to win 2024/25 Champions League based on 10,000 computer simulations.

Lamine Yamal, Alejandro Balde

Barcelona no longer favorites to win in the Champions League / Pedro Salado / Gettyimages

Rank

Team

The likelihood of a semifinals (%)

The likelihood of reaching the final (%)

The likelihood of winning the Champions League (%)

1.

Arsenal

95.7

52.9

27.8

2.

Barcelona

99.5

51.7

25.9

3.

PSG

91.5

42.9

21.9

4.

Between

82.7

41.5

19.8

5.

Bayern Munich

17.3

6.7

3

6.

Real Madrid

4.3

2

0.9

7.

Aston villa

8.5

2.2

0.8

8.

Borussia Dortmund

0.5

0.1

0

Barcelona all booked their place in the semifinals on Wednesday night as they claimed 4-0 victory over Borussia Dortmund, But La Liga leaders are no longer Opta Favorite to raise the trophy high in Munich.

ArsenalThe European Passport is minimal but Mikel Arteta has crossed the new border Thumping Real Madrid 3-0 on Emirates. The 15-plow winners were stunned by a couple of top declans of free kicks that would be found on all the time compilation of the goals in the years to come. Strike Mikel Merino shortly after the master-class master of the midfielder may have put a relationship outside the men by Carla Ancelotti.

Barca are most likely semi -finalists, with their chances to reach the last four as many as 99.5% compared to Arsenalov 95.7%. However, it is more likely that passengers will reach the final (52.9% to 51.7%) and conquer the whole thing (27.8% to 25.9%). Two sides could face the Allianz Arena in the repeated finals of 2006.

The Madrid catastrophe of the second half in northern London leaves them with only a 4.3% chance of advancement and a 0.9% chance of winning the European title No. 16. It is interesting that their chances of abolishing the trophy are marginal better than Aston Vile’s (0.8%), despite the fact that the Villas have launched a greater chance. select evaluates the likelihood that the second turn in western Midlands will be at 8.5%next Tuesday.

Paris Saint-Germain produced another scintillation screen for Down English opposition on WednesdayAnd they run to Barcelona near for the most beautiful attacking clothes left in the competition. Les Parisiens never played with such a desire and synergy. They are the third favorites to win the Champions League, and the supercomputer evaluated their chances at 21.9%.

BetweenIn the meantime, it goes a little under the radar. Simone Inzaghi Old, but they are a great team of Cup that was defeated by the finalists two years ago. Nestazurri combines vintage Italian defense with ‘related’ principles in possession, which help them methodically overcome opponents.

Their 2-1 victory at Bayern Munich on Tuesday They leave them with 82.7% chance of making semi -finals, but at least they are probably that their four first leg winners won the competition (19.8% chance). Don’t sleep on them.

Read the latest news, examinations and champions of the Champions League here



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